We all remember Brexit. It’s that referendum the government told us it will plunge the world into turmoil, starts wars, shuts industries and end humanity as we know it – if we dared to vote to leave the European Union. Because if we did then life as we know it will cease to exist. Remember? We are close to two months since we voted to leave, the skies are still blue and the sun still rises on the east.

On the other hand, the Arab Spring was a different affair. Wasn’t it? The same establishment and mainstream politicians were elated and impressed by the people of Arabia for finally having enough courage and gumption to stand up to tyrants that maligned and oppressed them. It began in November 2010 in Tunisia and quickly swept the Arab League from Tunisia to Bahrain. The wave of demonstrations and protests sped across the region carpeting it with civil unrest. In Tunisia, Egypt and Libya it resulted in regime change but to date only Tunisia moved to constitutional democratic governance. Libya and Syria are facing their nations’ worst civil war and turbulence in history and Egypt is right behind them.

When Donald J Trump decided to run for president of the United States, many laughed at the idea and didn’t pay it much attention. Yet, for over a year he pushed on and systematically defeated every opponent to secure the Republican nomination. From the start he was not a conventional candidate and some would say his style is somewhat outrageous. But, he kept on gaining support.

Trump is a phenomenon fuelled by the media and the Republican Party’s fear of him winning the nomination. This ‘self-fulling prophecy’ might look like it came out of nowhere, but like Brexit and the Arab Spring before it, the Trump phenomena is the result of bubbling disquiet in the grassroots and too much media sensationalism. The more the media and mainstream politicians berate him the stronger his appeal to activists became.

People of Europe and the US are not that different from Arabs or even Africans. Feelings and sentiments wise they are the same, the difference is in the manner they express these emotions.

From the start of the campaign, every week in almost every state, ordinary folks backed Trump in droves. The more the media berated him the stronger Jo Public backed him. Yet, the elite with their sophisticated polls, accomplished analysts and broadminded commentators did not see the link between his growing support and their criticism of him!

There is no doubt in my mind Trump is a clever businessman and a smooth media operator, plus his unorthodox ‘speak your mind no matter how it sounds like’ makes him unique and to some even a brave man of conviction. And here is where many went wrong with the Donald. Brave conviction politicians who speak from the heart without a polished, focus group tested, teleprompter delivered speech are extinct. When Trump gives a speech you can see his brain working, feel his heart racing and sense the passion in every word, and that is rare.

The political world might not think Trump is presidential material, but regular folks find him down to earth, relatable and funny. They are tired of unapproachable leaders who follow scripts and sound the same.

As the ordinary people’s choice, Donald J Trump might not win the 2016 US elections, but he will forever change the way America and the rest of the developed world do politics.

Since before the 2008 presidential election and during the election Barack Obama’s birth certificate and his university record were issues that heated up debate from time to time. However, right from the start he treated both as non- issues – and for the record I think neither should have become one.

With respect to where Barack Obama was born – I have too much reverence for the United States Federal Agencies to even suppose they did not do their due diligence regarding a presidential candidate, let alone one surrounded with great controversy from the start. As for the president’s undergraduate records and grades I think that’s an issue for Harvard University and their reputation. Nevertheless, I don’t care an iota one way or the other. Especially as the problem now is not what Obama told the American people and the world what he can do back then, but what he actually did and didn’t do during his presidency so far!

On Twitter, last night I asked “Why did Obama see the need to release his full birth certificate now, some twenty seven month into his presidency!?”

True to fashion I was attacked directly and in directly for my question – most attacks hinted at race and Obama’s skin colour!! Meanwhile John Mc Cain, who was born in Panama Canal Zone – was asked the same question back in 2008, no one batted an eye then and everyone conveniently forgot all about it now.

But back to my question, why did the president release the official document now – what changed between now and then plus who will benefit form this change!?

The president is in trouble and he knows it. He also knows the GOP have lots working for them this time round and the only way he can win in 2012 is if they beat themselves – by them choosing the wrong candidate.

Donald Trump might talk a lot of sense, plus now he is the big winner who was able to accomplish what many before him including the Clintons, the press, social media and most of Conservative America has tried and failed to achieve: “the release of President Obama’s full birth certificate”. But make no mistake it isn’t Trump’s genius that pushed Obama into submission – its Obama’s calculated brilliance and desire to hand pick who will be his opponent next year. He wants the GOP to select Trump for President, and that’s exactly who they shouldn’t choose!